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UM Research Specialist Leads Study Identifying Disease as a Driver of Early Human Evolution

Traditionally, scientists have believed that our species emerged from a single region in Africa, with the distribution of early human populations largely shaped by climate and environmental conditions.

However, new research challenges this view, suggesting that humans instead evolved through interactions between multiple populations spread across the continent. It also shows that factors beyond climate played a significant role in determining where these populations lived and how they moved.

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Graphic representation of the impact of malaria on the formation of the human niche. Photo credit: Michela Leonardi.

A new study led by Prof. Eleanor Scerri from the University of Malta’s Department of Classics & Archaeology within the Faculty of Arts and the Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology, suggests that for the last 74,000 years, malaria shaped where early humans could live in Africa, fragmenting populations and influencing patterns of exchange long before recorded history.

In a paper published in Science Advances, which was also featured on the cover of the issue, a group of researchers from the Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology, the University of Cambridge, and colleagues, investigated whether Plasmodium falciparum induced malaria shaped human habitat choice between 74,000 and 5,000 years ago, the critical period before humans dispersed widely beyond Africa and before agriculture dramatically altered malaria transmission.

The study shows that malaria, one of humanity’s oldest and most persistent pathogens, influenced habitat choice by pushing human groups away from high-risk environments and separating populations across the landscape. Over tens of thousands of years, this fragmentation shaped how populations met, mixed, and exchanged genes, helping create the population structure seen in humans today.  The findings suggest that infectious disease was not simply a challenge early humans faced: it was a fundamental factor shaping the deep history of our species.

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A long-exposure photo of a mosquito – the main vector of malaria, in flight. Photo credit: Martin and Ondrej Pelanek.

“This study opens up new frontiers in research on human evolution,” adds Professor Eleanor Scerri, also senior author of the study. “Disease has rarely been considered a major factor shaping the earliest prehistory of our species, and without ancient DNA from these periods it has been difficult to test. Our research changes that narrative and provides a new framework for exploring the role of disease in deep human history.”

“We used species distribution models of three major mosquito complexes together with palaeoclimate models,” explains lead author Dr Margherita Colucci of the Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology and the University of Cambridge. “Combining these with epidemiological data allowed us to estimate malaria transmission risk across sub-Saharan Africa.”

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Mana Pools like this in sub-Saharan Zimbabwe are ideal breeding locations for mosquito vectors. Photo credit: Martin and Ondrej Pelanek.

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Sub-Saharan landscapes can provide the ideal breeding ground for malaria carrying mosquitoes. Photo credit: Seth Irish.

The researchers then compared these estimates with an independent reconstruction of the human ecological niche across the same region and time period. The results show that humans strongly avoided, or were unable to persist, in areas with high malaria transmission risk.

“The effects of these choices shaped human demography for the last 74,000 years, and likely much earlier,” says Professor Andrea Manica of the University of Cambridge, one of the senior authors of the study. “By fragmenting human societies across the landscape, malaria contributed to the population structure we see today. Climate and physical barriers were not the only forces shaping where human populations could live.”

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Photo credit: Colucci, et al., Science Advances, 2026.

(Figure above) Comparing the extent of human niche and potential malaria transmission risk through time. Upper panel shows the extent of the human niche (outlined in black) against the map of potential malaria transmission risk at 54, 16 and 8 thousand years ago; Lower panel shows the median of level of malaria risk in the area of human range (dark orange line) and outside the area of human range (dark blue line), including the uncertainty (interquartile, colour in transparency around the darker lines that shows median values). We can see that the level of malaria in the human niche is consistently lower than the areas avoided by humans.

Authors: Margherita Colucci, Michela Leonardi, James Blinkhorn, Seth R. Irish, Cecilia Padilla-Iglesias, Stephanie Kaboth-Bahr, William D. Gosling, Robert W. Snow, Andrea Manica, Eleanor M.L. Scerri.


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