Pulo, A. (2013)

Pulo, A. (2013)

Pulo, A. (2013). B.Sc. (Hons) Dissertation. Analysis and validation of three convective precipitation schemes in the regional climate model RegCM4.0.

Supervisor: Dr N. Aquilina

Abstract

This study deals with the implementation of the three convective precipitation schemes in the regional climate model, RegCM 4.0, over the Mediterranean region for a period of 10 years. The schemes vary in how they fundamentally interpret the cloud physics and eventually model it. The Kuo scheme models the clouds as bulk entraining plumes, the Grell scheme constructs the cloud as two drafts; an up and downdraft, while the MIT Emanuel scheme deals with the microphysics of the cloud on sub-cloud scale.

The data output by the three schemes was then studied by validating against precipitation quasi-observed data. This required the understanding of the mechanics which affect clouds, and their formation; mainly moisture, evaporation, updrafts, downdrafts and buoyancy.  Different analysis methods were then employed in order to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each scheme and be able to identify the most suitable scheme for this region.  

Due to the dissimilar treatment of cloud and precipitation formation by the three schemes, the output of each is distinct. Some major observations noted were that the Grell produces great underestimation of precipitation over the whole domain chosen, the Kuo scheme is quite sensitive to the irregularly shaped coastlines and the MIT Emanuel scheme produces overestimations around the domain border.

https://www.um.edu.mt/r/research/climate/ourresearch/projects/pulo2013